Risk Evaluation Models in a Crisis Management

Abstract

Investigations of the situation characterized by uncertainty and risk in the last century, particularly in situations of crisis and conflict, were carried out at different levels of generality and specificity. In this article, the methodological foundations of risk evaluation models in situations of threats to system security are described. The general decision model in circumstances of risk and uncertainty and statistical risk measurement methods for crisis management are depicted. The examples of the mathematical models of the risk evaluations are also presented.